Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 10.158399 11.226808 12.372299 13.693831 15.178955 16.799234 18.704666
2025-10-19 8.454802 9.920923 11.603674 13.686531 16.207154 19.173607 22.950675
2025-10-26 7.167147 8.836448 10.864208 13.528073 16.963867 21.284456 27.189738
2025-11-02 6.190100 7.956965 10.209140 13.323490 17.570149 23.233626 31.485232
2025-11-09 5.424676 7.226771 9.621201 13.083734 18.042968 25.013824 35.777586
2025-11-16 4.838563 6.651339 9.149808 12.909835 18.539123 26.840685 40.366870
2025-11-23 4.387899 6.203862 8.790672 12.827497 19.122239 28.828054 45.462310
2025-11-30 4.110533 5.968601 8.699799 13.113046 20.271600 31.801452 52.577560
2025-12-07 3.778079 5.613830 8.386871 13.006635 20.766035 33.759778 58.258020
2025-12-14 3.447355 5.227927 7.983555 12.701335 20.878204 35.064145 62.945773
2025-12-21 3.210222 4.965174 7.745682 12.634582 21.373783 37.076436 69.251452
2025-12-28 3.092715 4.881906 7.786606 13.038060 22.735542 40.820995 79.571822
2026-01-04 2.968596 4.781222 7.795911 13.399753 24.091771 44.799270 91.248595
2026-01-11 2.803846 4.598315 7.648557 13.463351 24.894563 47.818351 101.483914
2026-01-18 2.626300 4.378599 7.416973 13.344843 25.324766 50.140896 110.619387
2026-01-25 2.456798 4.159245 7.166505 13.162659 25.601070 52.174805 119.487576
2026-02-01 2.297387 3.945427 6.907646 12.936161 25.754676 53.958664 128.107252
2026-02-08 2.160669 3.762419 6.690462 12.769679 26.013427 56.013088 137.861188
2026-02-15 2.047000 3.613437 6.525039 12.691077 26.452873 58.549682 149.470516
2026-02-22 1.985476 3.557504 6.533371 12.974626 27.741426 63.323599 168.476626
2026-03-01 1.884709 3.419141 6.368469 12.870265 28.116872 65.886757 181.631834
2026-03-08 1.770868 3.247661 6.124358 12.569005 27.986773 67.132749 191.064044
2026-03-15 1.690100 3.135682 5.992141 12.503253 28.420180 69.929694 206.116465